Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 193.719097 223.819986 258.015622 299.937022 350.212075 408.899458 483.077361
2025-09-28 152.554356 190.630148 238.171568 302.648101 388.979437 502.268134 665.014642
2025-10-05 135.469404 179.000431 237.191640 322.261601 446.183420 624.544766 909.111375
2025-10-12 122.759694 169.547248 235.607481 338.302934 498.850965 749.045813 1187.159722
2025-10-19 108.585546 155.270529 224.102241 336.537734 522.811682 833.122679 1421.918873
2025-10-26 100.130830 147.836715 221.058785 346.381316 565.880354 956.183981 1758.809240
2025-11-02 92.144869 139.874218 215.749964 351.094511 600.306384 1070.729997 2113.993058
2025-11-09 85.665996 133.377356 211.712035 356.922637 637.231397 1197.613362 2536.133246
2025-11-16 79.086300 125.879372 204.907599 356.479032 661.728582 1304.753700 2950.683249
2025-11-23 73.265925 118.981547 198.212891 355.036655 683.640604 1411.151832 3402.611042
2025-11-30 68.965913 114.228693 194.702317 359.062086 717.500764 1552.466477 4004.038851
2025-12-07 62.758515 105.476211 182.879819 344.734509 708.566149 1589.849598 4323.357368
2025-12-14 58.376590 100.058927 177.549231 344.870503 737.024598 1740.181846 5104.868052
2025-12-21 54.709121 95.646894 173.755059 348.036389 774.540259 1930.035936 6146.785764
2025-12-28 53.479563 95.677900 178.678513 371.217767 867.508607 2309.948858 8163.966222
2026-01-04 51.876734 94.778937 181.548445 390.212059 954.966417 2710.839874 10627.603410
2026-01-11 48.590936 90.166024 176.012985 388.120451 983.911712 2935.502305 12503.915741
2026-01-18 46.724387 88.245245 176.031356 399.788744 1056.065569 3342.730076 15757.723783
2026-01-25 44.558498 85.476633 173.823546 405.379482 1111.674496 3716.893944 19300.975462
2026-02-01 42.666201 83.099549 172.212226 412.296139 1173.832075 4150.108785 23853.108206
2026-02-08 40.453128 79.819394 168.124502 411.769551 1211.512857 4501.993560 28400.922646
2026-02-15 38.358035 76.611468 163.854430 410.057500 1245.064170 4856.217835 33622.471168
2026-02-22 36.802113 74.469591 161.924023 414.836113 1303.900096 5368.144678 41358.361203